when to run


Now · Van Cortlandt Park · 3:42 PM ET
Heat Stress · WBGT
81°F Elevated heat stress
What is WBGT?

Wet-bulb globe temperature folds temperature, humidity, sun load, and wind into one number for how hard heat works a moving body. It is the standard the National Weather Service and OSHA use for outdoor exertion — watch it, not the plain temperature. Two 75° mornings can run worlds apart; WBGT tells them apart.

See how every metric is read ↓

Temperature 84°F in the shade
Dew Point 67°F humid at a jog
UV 7 high · AQI 64 moderate (OZONE) · humidity 57% · wind S 9 · rain 7%

Dew point 71°F. That is the difference between a hard run and a miserable one. After work tomorrow does not work. Run before work tomorrow, 5–10 AM. Everything later reads worse.

Before work: Sun 12–11 AM · After work: Sat 3 PM–12 AM
Dawn: 70–80° low · UV 3 · AQI 88 moderate — Evening: 72–82° elevated · UV 7 · AQI 111 unhealthy

Next 48 hours

3 PM Sat → 2 PM Mon
WBGT, temperature and dew point for the next 48 hours on one shared Fahrenheit axis Line chart from 3 PM Saturday to 2 PM Monday. WBGT is drawn in its heat-band ink, temperature as a dashed neutral line, dew point dotted. Hatched bars along the base count the chance of rain, with bolt marks at thunder hours. ✕ THUNDERSTORMS before work Sun 12–11 AM after work Sat 3 PM–12 AM 3P 6P 9P 12A 3A 6A 9A 12P 3P 6P 9P 12A 3A 6A 9A 12P SAT AUG 1 SUN AUG 2 MON AUG 3 sets 8:11 rises 5:53 sets 8:10 rises 5:54 7% 19% 19% 19% 78% 78% 78% 72% 72% 72% 77% 77% 77% 90% 90% 90% 71% 71% 71% 71% 71% 71% 92% 70° low 80° low 83° elevated 82° elevated 75° low 72° low
temperature · dew point · chance of rain, bolt marks thunder
every other numeral: good · fair · poor

Hourly ledger · 48 h

Hour-by-hour conditions for the next 48 hours at Van Cortlandt Park
TimeWBGTTempDew pointRHUVAQIWindRain
SATSaturday August 1 · todayrises 5:52 · sets 8:11
3 PMafter work81°84°67°57%764S 97%
4 PM82°83°68°61%696S 107%
5 PM77°82°68°63%496S 105%
6 PM77°81°68°65%2106S 105%
7 PM76°80°68°67%0111S 95%
8 PM74°78°69°74%0107S 87%
— sunset 8:11 —
9 PM72°77°69°76%096S 87%
10 PM72°76°70°82%094S 77%
11 PM73°75°70°84%091S 74%
SUNSunday August 2rises 5:53 · sets 8:10
12 AMbefore work72°75°70°84%088S 74%
1 AM71°75°70°84%084S 64%
2 AM72°74°70°87%081S 64%
3 AM71°74°70°87%078S 64%
4 AM70°74°69°84%076S 54%
5 AM71°73°69°87%074S 53%
— sunrise 5:53 —
6 AM70°73°69°87%072S 53%
7 AM72°74°70°87%071S 53%
8 AM74°76°70°82%169S 68%
9 AM78°78°71°79%268S 78%
10 AM80°79°71°77%367S 98%
11 AM78°81°71°72%466S 105%
12 PM81°82°70°67%465S 12 g185%
1 PM83°82°70°67%564SSE 13 g215%
2 PM79°82°70°67%763SSE 14 g2212%
3 PM82°82°70°67%763SSE 14 g2212%
4 PM81°81°70°69%662SSE 14 g2112%
— everything stops for thunder at 5 PM —
5 PM76° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast81°70°69%461SSE 13 g2119%
6 PM75° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast81°70°70%261SSE 12 g2019%
7 PM76° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast79°70°74%160SSE 10 g1819%
8 PM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast77°71°82%060SSE 9 g1778%
— sunset 8:10 —
9 PM73° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast76°71°85%060SSE 878%
— the sky opens back up after 10 PM —
10 PM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast76°72°87%060SE 778%
11 PM73° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast75°72°90%059SE 772%
MONMonday August 3rises 5:54 · sets 8:09
12 AM73° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast75°72°90%059SSE 672%
1 AM73° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast75°72°90%059SSE 672%
2 AM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast75°73°94%058SSE 677%
3 AM73° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast74°73°95%057S 677%
4 AM73° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast74°73°98%057S 777%
5 AM73° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast74°72°95%056S 790%
— sunrise 5:54 —
6 AM72° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast72°72°99%056S 890%
7 AM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast74°73°98%055S 790%
8 AM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast74°73°95%054S 871%
9 AM75° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast75°74°96%153SSW 871%
10 AM76° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast76°75°95%053SSW 871%
11 AM78° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast77°75°94%052SSW 871%
12 PM78° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast78°75°92%052SSW 871%
1 PM79° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast79°76°90%151SSW 871%
2 PM79° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast80°76°89%151SSW 892%
How every metric is read
WBGT — heat stress

Wet-bulb globe temperature folds temperature, humidity, sun load, and wind into one heat-stress number — the standard for outdoor athletics. It omits your fitness, acclimatization, and pace. The words follow the National Weather Service bands: low, elevated, moderate, high, extreme — a veto at 90°F and above.

These figures are estimated from the gridpoint forecast, not measured. A black-globe sensor on the course reads the real thing and can sit a few degrees higher in full sun on asphalt — treat a forecast 88° as “maybe 90° on the asphalt.”

source: NWS gridpoint forecast (estimated, not a station measurement) · fetched 3:33 PM ET
Dew point — humidity

The absolute moisture in the air, which sets how well sweat can evaporate. Below 55°F is comfortable; at 70°F and above evaporation stalls and heart rate drifts up at any pace. It omits temperature itself; that is WBGT’s job.

source: NWS gridpoint forecast · fetched 3:33 PM ET
Relative humidity

The same moisture as the dew point, read against the temperature — so it climbs toward dawn even while the absolute moisture holds steady. A high-RH dawn is not wetter air than a moderate-RH afternoon; it is cooler air holding the same water. Use dew point to judge sweat; use RH to expect fog and soaked grass at first light.

source: NWS gridpoint forecast · fetched 3:33 PM ET
UV index

The EPA scale for sunburn speed on exposed skin — at UV 9, damage begins in about 15 minutes. It says nothing about heat: a dawn window can read UV 0–2 while the same day’s noon hits 10. Shade, cover, and sunscreen change your exposure, not the index.

source: Open-Meteo model (forecast) · fetched 3:13 PM ET
AQI — air quality

The EPA Air Quality Index, taken from the worst nearby monitor and its dominant pollutant — a protective reading, not an average. Moderate air is fine for most runners; unusually sensitive people may shorten hard sessions. 201 and above vetoes the hour.

now: EPA AirNow monitor (measured) · fetched 3:42 PM ET · hourly forecast: CAMS model (modeled) · fetched 3:21 PM ET
Wind & gusts

Sustained speed plus gusts, with the vane in the ledger showing where it blows from. In heat, wind helps — it moves saturated air off your skin. In cold it cuts; the wind-chill veto sits at −10°F. It omits direction changes along a loop; see the route note.

source: NWS gridpoint forecast · fetched 3:33 PM ET
Alerts, storms & vetoes

Advisories are cautions, not stop orders: an advisory banners the page but strikes nothing out. Vetoes are different — lightning at 30% thunder probability or more, WBGT at 90°F and above, or AQI past 200 remove the hour from play with the reason named in the row, never averaged away. Rain alone rarely cancels a run.

source: NWS alerts · fetched 3:41 PM ET · thunder: NWS probabilityOfThunder · fetched 3:33 PM ET

ClothingSinglet and shorts; carry water past 40 minutes.