when to run


Now · Central Park · 3:41 PM ET
Heat Stress · WBGT
82°F Elevated heat stress
What is WBGT?

Wet-bulb globe temperature folds temperature, humidity, sun load, and wind into one number for how hard heat works a moving body. It is the standard the National Weather Service and OSHA use for outdoor exertion — watch it, not the plain temperature. Two 75° mornings can run worlds apart; WBGT tells them apart.

See how every metric is read ↓

Temperature 83°F in the shade
Dew Point 67°F humid at a jog
UV 7 high · AQI 59 moderate (PM2.5) · humidity 59% · wind S 7 g15 · rain 7%

Dew point 71°F. That is the difference between a hard run and a miserable one. After work tomorrow does not work. Run before work tomorrow, 5–10 AM. Everything later reads worse.

Before work: Sun 12–11 AM · After work: Sat 3 PM–12 AM
Dawn: 69–79° low · UV 3 · AQI 88 moderate — Evening: 72–82° elevated · UV 7 · AQI 111 unhealthy

Next 48 hours

3 PM Sat → 2 PM Mon
WBGT, temperature and dew point for the next 48 hours on one shared Fahrenheit axis Line chart from 3 PM Saturday to 2 PM Monday. WBGT is drawn in its heat-band ink, temperature as a dashed neutral line, dew point dotted. Hatched bars along the base count the chance of rain, with bolt marks at thunder hours. ✕ THUNDERSTORMS before work Sun 12–11 AM after work Sat 3 PM–12 AM 3P 6P 9P 12A 3A 6A 9A 12P 3P 6P 9P 12A 3A 6A 9A 12P SAT AUG 1 SUN AUG 2 MON AUG 3 sets 8:11 rises 5:53 sets 8:10 rises 5:54 7% 18% 18% 18% 74% 74% 74% 64% 64% 64% 78% 78% 78% 89% 89% 89% 74% 74% 74% 74% 74% 74% 91% 69° low 79° low 83° elevated 78° low 82° elevated 74° low
temperature · dew point · chance of rain, bolt marks thunder
every other numeral: good · fair · poor

Hourly ledger · 48 h

Hour-by-hour conditions for the next 48 hours at Central Park
TimeWBGTTempDew pointRHUVAQIWindRain
SATSaturday August 1 · todayrises 5:52 · sets 8:11
3 PMafter work82°83°67°59%759S 7 g157%
4 PM80°82°67°61%696S 8 g167%
5 PM76°81°68°65%496S 8 g175%
6 PM77°81°68°65%1106S 8 g165%
7 PM75°79°68°69%1111S 7 g165%
8 PM73°78°68°71%0107S 6 g156%
— sunset 8:11 —
9 PM72°77°69°76%096S 6 g156%
10 PM72°77°70°79%094S 6 g146%
11 PM73°76°70°82%091S 6 g144%
SUNSunday August 2rises 5:53 · sets 8:10
12 AMbefore work71°76°70°82%088S 64%
1 AM71°75°70°84%084S 5 g134%
2 AM73°75°70°84%081S 54%
3 AM70°75°70°84%078S 54%
4 AM70°75°70°84%076S 54%
5 AM72°74°69°84%074S 53%
— sunrise 5:53 —
6 AM69°74°70°87%072S 53%
7 AM71°75°70°84%071S 53%
8 AM74°76°71°85%169S 58%
9 AM78°78°70°76%268S 68%
10 AM79°79°70°74%367S 7 g158%
11 AM78°81°70°69%466S 8 g175%
12 PM83°81°70°69%465S 9 g205%
1 PM81°81°69°67%764SSE 10 g215%
2 PM78°81°69°67%763SSE 12 g2314%
3 PM82°81°70°69%763SSE 12 g2314%
4 PM81°80°70°72%662SSE 10 g2214%
— everything stops for thunder at 5 PM —
5 PM77° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast81°71°72%461SSE 9 g2218%
6 PM76° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast80°71°74%361SSE 8 g2118%
7 PM75° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast79°71°77%160SSE 8 g1818%
8 PM75° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast78°71°80%060SE 7 g1774%
— sunset 8:10 —
9 PM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast77°71°83%060SSE 6 g1674%
— the sky opens back up after 10 PM —
10 PM75° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast77°73°89%060SE 6 g1574%
11 PM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast76°73°89%059SE 6 g1464%
MONMonday August 3rises 5:54 · sets 8:09
12 AM75° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast76°73°89%059SSE 5 g1364%
1 AM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast75°74°96%059SSE 5 g1364%
2 AM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast75°74°96%058S 5 g1378%
3 AM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast75°74°98%057S 6 g1478%
4 AM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast74°74°98%057S 6 g1578%
5 AM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast74°74°99%056S 6 g1689%
— sunrise 5:54 —
6 AM73° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast73°73°100%056S 6 g1589%
7 AM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast74°74°99%055S 6 g1489%
8 AM74° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast74°74°99%054S 6 g1474%
9 AM75° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast75°74°96%053SSW 6 g1574%
10 AM76° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast76°74°94%053SSW 6 g1674%
11 AM78° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast77°75°94%152SSW 6 g1674%
12 PM78° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast78°75°92%152SSW 6 g1674%
1 PM79° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast79°76°91%151SSW 5 g1574%
2 PM79° ✕ thunderstorms in the forecast79°76°89%151SSW 5 g1591%
How every metric is read
WBGT — heat stress

Wet-bulb globe temperature folds temperature, humidity, sun load, and wind into one heat-stress number — the standard for outdoor athletics. It omits your fitness, acclimatization, and pace. The words follow the National Weather Service bands: low, elevated, moderate, high, extreme — a veto at 90°F and above.

These figures are estimated from the gridpoint forecast, not measured. A black-globe sensor on the course reads the real thing and can sit a few degrees higher in full sun on asphalt — treat a forecast 88° as “maybe 90° on the asphalt.”

source: NWS gridpoint forecast (estimated, not a station measurement) · fetched 3:36 PM ET
Dew point — humidity

The absolute moisture in the air, which sets how well sweat can evaporate. Below 55°F is comfortable; at 70°F and above evaporation stalls and heart rate drifts up at any pace. It omits temperature itself; that is WBGT’s job.

source: NWS gridpoint forecast · fetched 3:36 PM ET
Relative humidity

The same moisture as the dew point, read against the temperature — so it climbs toward dawn even while the absolute moisture holds steady. A high-RH dawn is not wetter air than a moderate-RH afternoon; it is cooler air holding the same water. Use dew point to judge sweat; use RH to expect fog and soaked grass at first light.

source: NWS gridpoint forecast · fetched 3:36 PM ET
UV index

The EPA scale for sunburn speed on exposed skin — at UV 9, damage begins in about 15 minutes. It says nothing about heat: a dawn window can read UV 0–2 while the same day’s noon hits 10. Shade, cover, and sunscreen change your exposure, not the index.

source: Open-Meteo model (forecast) · fetched 3:19 PM ET
AQI — air quality

The EPA Air Quality Index, taken from the worst nearby monitor and its dominant pollutant — a protective reading, not an average. Moderate air is fine for most runners; unusually sensitive people may shorten hard sessions. 201 and above vetoes the hour.

now: EPA AirNow monitor (measured) · fetched 3:19 PM ET · hourly forecast: CAMS model (modeled) · fetched 3:30 PM ET
Wind & gusts

Sustained speed plus gusts, with the vane in the ledger showing where it blows from. In heat, wind helps — it moves saturated air off your skin. In cold it cuts; the wind-chill veto sits at −10°F. It omits direction changes along a loop; see the route note.

source: NWS gridpoint forecast · fetched 3:36 PM ET
Alerts, storms & vetoes

Advisories are cautions, not stop orders: an advisory banners the page but strikes nothing out. Vetoes are different — lightning at 30% thunder probability or more, WBGT at 90°F and above, or AQI past 200 remove the hour from play with the reason named in the row, never averaged away. Rain alone rarely cancels a run.

source: NWS alerts · fetched 3:39 PM ET · thunder: NWS probabilityOfThunder · fetched 3:36 PM ET

ClothingSinglet and shorts; carry water past 40 minutes.