when to run


Now · East River Esplanade · 6:21 PM ET
Heat Stress · WBGT
65°F Low heat stress
What is WBGT?

Wet-bulb globe temperature folds temperature, humidity, sun load, and wind into one number for how hard heat works a moving body. It is the standard the National Weather Service and OSHA use for outdoor exertion — watch it, not the plain temperature. Two 75° mornings can run worlds apart; WBGT tells them apart.

See how every metric is read ↓

Temperature 71°F in the shade
Dew Point 54°F dry at a jog
UV 1 low · AQI 35 good (OZONE) · humidity 55% · wind SSE 5 · rain 0%

Run before work tomorrow, 5–10 AM. Everything later reads worse.

Before work: Wed 12–11 AM · After work: Wed 2 PM–12 AM
Dawn: 60–67° low · UV 2 · AQI 73 moderate — Evening: 69–75° low · UV 6 · AQI 80 moderate

Next 48 hours

6 PM Tue → 5 PM Thu
WBGT, temperature and dew point for the next 48 hours on one shared Fahrenheit axis Line chart from 6 PM Tuesday to 5 PM Thursday. WBGT is drawn in its heat-band ink, temperature as a dashed neutral line, dew point dotted. Hatched bars along the base count the chance of rain, with bolt marks at thunder hours. before work Wed 12–11 AM after work Wed 2 PM–12 AM 6P 9P 12A 3A 6A 9A 12P 3P 6P 9P 12A 3A 6A 9A 12P 3P TUE SEP 15 WED SEP 16 THU SEP 17 sets 7:04 rises 6:37 sets 7:03 rises 6:38 14% 65° low 60° low 75° low 69° low 67° low 77° low
temperature · dew point · chance of rain, bolt marks thunder
every other numeral: good · fair · poor

Hourly ledger · 48 h

Hour-by-hour conditions for the next 48 hours at East River Esplanade
TimeWBGTTempDew pointRHUVAQIWindRain
TUETuesday September 15 · todayrises 6:36 · sets 7:04
6 PM65°71°54°55%135SSE 50%
7 PM63°69°55°61%056SSE 60%
— sunset 7:04 —
8 PM62°67°55°65%057SSE 61%
9 PM62°66°55°68%059SSE 61%
10 PM61°65°56°73%060SSE 61%
11 PM61°65°56°73%061SSE 61%
WEDWednesday September 16rises 6:37 · sets 7:03
12 AMbefore work61°65°56°73%062S 51%
1 AM61°65°55°70%062S 31%
2 AM60°63°54°72%063SW 31%
3 AM60°63°54°72%064WSW 31%
4 AM60°63°55°75%065W 21%
5 AM60°62°56°81%066WSW 21%
6 AM61°63°57°81%067WSW 21%
— sunrise 6:37 —
7 AM61°63°57°81%068WSW 21%
8 AM62°64°58°81%170SW 32%
9 AM64°67°58°73%272SW 32%
10 AM67°70°59°68%273SW 62%
11 AM69°72°59°64%474SW 73%
12 PM71°74°59°59%275SW 73%
1 PM73°76°60°58%676SSW 73%
2 PMafter work75°78°61°56%677SSW 83%
3 PM74°79°61°54%578S 83%
4 PM73°79°62°56%178S 83%
5 PM73°80°63°56%379S 83%
6 PM72°78°63°60%179S 83%
7 PM71°77°63°62%079S 83%
— sunset 7:03 —
8 PM70°75°64°69%079S 60%
9 PM69°73°64°73%079S 50%
10 PM69°73°64°73%079SSW 50%
11 PM70°73°65°76%080SSW 30%
THUThursday September 17rises 6:38 · sets 7:01
12 AM69°72°65°79%080SW 30%
1 AM68°71°64°79%080SW 30%
2 AM67°70°64°81%080WSW 30%
3 AM67°70°64°81%081WSW 30%
4 AM67°69°64°84%081WSW 30%
5 AM67°70°64°81%080WSW 33%
6 AM67°69°64°84%080WSW 33%
— sunrise 6:38 —
7 AM67°69°64°84%079SW 33%
8 AM69°71°64°79%178SW 33%
9 AM70°73°65°76%277SW 33%
10 AM72°75°66°74%376SW 53%
11 AM74°77°66°69%576SSW 63%
12 PM76°79°66°64%676SSW 73%
1 PM77°80°67°65%575SSW 83%
2 PM77°81°67°63%375S 914%
3 PM77°82°67°61%575S 1014%
4 PM77°83°67°59%475S 1014%
5 PM76°82°67°61%375S 1014%
How every metric is read
WBGT — heat stress

Wet-bulb globe temperature folds temperature, humidity, sun load, and wind into one heat-stress number — the standard for outdoor athletics. It omits your fitness, acclimatization, and pace. The words follow the National Weather Service bands: low, elevated, moderate, high, extreme — a veto at 90°F and above.

These figures are estimated from the gridpoint forecast, not measured. A black-globe sensor on the course reads the real thing and can sit a few degrees higher in full sun on asphalt — treat a forecast 88° as “maybe 90° on the asphalt.”

source: NWS gridpoint forecast (estimated, not a station measurement) · fetched 6:12 PM ET
Dew point — humidity

The absolute moisture in the air, which sets how well sweat can evaporate. Below 55°F is comfortable; at 70°F and above evaporation stalls and heart rate drifts up at any pace. It omits temperature itself; that is WBGT’s job.

source: NWS gridpoint forecast · fetched 6:12 PM ET
Relative humidity

The same moisture as the dew point, read against the temperature — so it climbs toward dawn even while the absolute moisture holds steady. A high-RH dawn is not wetter air than a moderate-RH afternoon; it is cooler air holding the same water. Use dew point to judge sweat; use RH to expect fog and soaked grass at first light.

source: NWS gridpoint forecast · fetched 6:12 PM ET
UV index

The EPA scale for sunburn speed on exposed skin — at UV 9, damage begins in about 15 minutes. It says nothing about heat: a dawn window can read UV 0–2 while the same day’s noon hits 10. Shade, cover, and sunscreen change your exposure, not the index.

source: Open-Meteo model (forecast) · fetched 5:55 PM ET
AQI — air quality

The EPA Air Quality Index, taken from the worst nearby monitor and its dominant pollutant — a protective reading, not an average. Moderate air is fine for most runners; unusually sensitive people may shorten hard sessions. 201 and above vetoes the hour.

now: EPA AirNow monitor (measured) · fetched 5:59 PM ET · hourly forecast: CAMS model (modeled) · fetched 5:56 PM ET
Wind & gusts

Sustained speed plus gusts, with the vane in the ledger showing where it blows from. In heat, wind helps — it moves saturated air off your skin. In cold it cuts; the wind-chill veto sits at −10°F. It omits direction changes along a loop; see the route note.

source: NWS gridpoint forecast · fetched 6:12 PM ET
Alerts, storms & vetoes

Advisories are cautions, not stop orders: an advisory banners the page but strikes nothing out. Vetoes are different — lightning at 30% thunder probability or more, WBGT at 90°F and above, or AQI past 200 remove the hour from play with the reason named in the row, never averaged away. Rain alone rarely cancels a run.

source: NWS alerts · fetched 6:20 PM ET · thunder: NWS probabilityOfThunder · fetched 6:12 PM ET

ClothingOrdinary kit: shorts and a light shirt cover it.